Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000103 0.000114 0.000126 0.000139 0.000154 0.000170 0.000189
2025-12-14 0.000087 0.000102 0.000120 0.000140 0.000165 0.000193 0.000228
2025-12-21 0.000076 0.000093 0.000114 0.000141 0.000174 0.000214 0.000267
2025-12-28 0.000066 0.000085 0.000108 0.000139 0.000180 0.000232 0.000303
2026-01-04 0.000060 0.000080 0.000105 0.000141 0.000190 0.000255 0.000348
2026-01-11 0.000054 0.000074 0.000102 0.000142 0.000198 0.000275 0.000390
2026-01-18 0.000049 0.000070 0.000098 0.000141 0.000204 0.000293 0.000431
2026-01-25 0.000045 0.000065 0.000095 0.000140 0.000209 0.000310 0.000473
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000062 0.000092 0.000140 0.000215 0.000329 0.000518
2026-02-08 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000138 0.000218 0.000343 0.000556
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000055 0.000086 0.000137 0.000222 0.000359 0.000599
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000053 0.000084 0.000138 0.000229 0.000378 0.000649
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000050 0.000081 0.000136 0.000232 0.000394 0.000696
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000048 0.000080 0.000138 0.000241 0.000420 0.000763
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000248 0.000442 0.000825
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000044 0.000077 0.000138 0.000252 0.000460 0.000881
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000140 0.000261 0.000489 0.000961
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000075 0.000140 0.000268 0.000512 0.001032
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000073 0.000139 0.000272 0.000532 0.001098
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000139 0.000276 0.000552 0.001166
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000139 0.000282 0.000575 0.001242
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000137 0.000283 0.000589 0.001301
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000136 0.000287 0.000608 0.001373